๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India-US Trade Agreement: Negotiate on Own Terms

  • Indiaโ€™s Approach: Trade deals must align with national interest.
  • On-going Talks: 5th round of India-US Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) talks underway in Washington.
  • US Proposal Reference: President Trump wants a deal similar to the US-Indonesia pact, where Indonesia gave full market access and agreed to major US imports.
  • Indiaโ€™s Position:
    • Rejecting duty concessions in agriculture and dairy, sectors traditionally protected.
    • Seeking tariff relief on steel, aluminium, and automobiles.
    • Citing WTO rights to impose retaliatory duties if needed.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy

  • No Need to Change: Inflation targeting (IT) working well.
  • Target Band: 4% ยฑ2% (2โ€“6%) remains suitable.
  • Higher Inflation Risk: Would hurt poor and middle class.
  • RBI Suggestion: Some propose using core inflation (excluding food) for IT.
  • Future CPI Improvements: Base year revision to 2024 will improve data accuracy.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Fiscal Responsibility

  • FRBM Targets Must Continue: To ensure sound fiscal health.
  • Risks of Higher Deficit: More inflation, reduced growth, and higher interest payments.
  • Fiscal Progress:
    • FY21: 9.2%
    • FY25: 4.8%
    • FY26 (target): 4.4%

๐Ÿญ PLI Scheme and Exports

  • Beyond Direct Gains: PLI benefits spill into non-PLI sectors.
  • FTAs + PLI: Together can drive FDI and export growth.
  • Electronics Sector: Shift toward more indirect domestic value addition shows deeper supply chain linkages.
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